Penafiel vs Varzim: result 4-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 8, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Varzim?
Penafiel won 4-1 on April 8, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 62′MuriloVarzim
- 66′Edson FariasPenafiel
- 70′Edson FariasPenafiel
- 80′RobertoPenafiel
- 90′RobertoPenafiel (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Varzim have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | Leixoes(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Farense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Chaves(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Mafra(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2022 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Vilafranquense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Benfica B(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Feirense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penafiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | Varzim 0-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| May 9, 2021 | Varzim 1-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Penafiel 1-2 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Varzim 1-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Penafiel 2-0 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Varzim 3-4 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 0.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Varzim | 0.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy