Penarol vs Cerro: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on March 21, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 3-1 on March 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. ArezoPenarol
- 26′L. AnguloPenarol
- 45′C. BarrosCerro (pen.)
- 90′N. FernándezPenarol (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Cerro have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Central Espanol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Progreso(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cerro 2-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Penarol 2-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Penarol 3-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Cerro 0-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Penarol 3-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerro | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy