Penarol vs Cerro: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 19, 2016 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Cerro won 1-2 on November 19, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 8′F. PerazaCerro
- 46′N. DibblePenarol
- 74′L. HernándezCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Cerro have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 5-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2016 | SUD America(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Villa Espanola(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Danubio(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Villa Espanola(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Danubio(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2016 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2014 | Penarol 3-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Penarol 0-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Cerro 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerro | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy