Penarol vs Cerro: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on April 20, 2019 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol and Cerro drew 1-1 on April 20, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 51′Cristian Gabriel Rodríguez BarrottiPenarol (pen.)
- 71′J. TancrediCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Cerro have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 10, 2019 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Danubio(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 4, 2019 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Boston River(away) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | Progreso(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Fenix(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 4, 2019 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2019 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2018 | Penarol 3-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Cerro 0-4 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 7, 2017 | Penarol 1-2 Cerro | Primera División |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Penarol 1-2 Cerro | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerro | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy