Penarol vs Cerro: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 1Kick-off on February 4, 2023 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 2-0 on February 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. ArezoPenarol
- 57′C. SánchezPenarol (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cerro have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 17, 2023 | San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | Danubio(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Danubio(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Nov 6, 2019 | Cerro 1-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Penarol 1-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Penarol 3-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Cerro | 0.9 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy