Penarol vs Danubio: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on March 27, 2018 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Penarol and Danubio drew 1-1 on March 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 67′C. PalaciosPenarol
- 79′Juan Ignacio González BrazeiroDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Danubio have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | Atenas(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Cerro(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2018 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2018 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2017 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 16, 2017 | Penarol 1-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Danubio 3-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Penarol 2-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Penarol 2-3 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Danubio | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy