Penarol vs Danubio: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on April 16, 2017 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Penarol won 1-0 on April 16, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 47′N. NándezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Danubio have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | Juventud(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 5, 2017 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2017 | SUD America(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2017 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Cerro(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Juventud(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 11, 2017 | SUD America(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Danubio 3-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Penarol 2-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Penarol 2-3 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Danubio 1-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy