Penarol vs Danubio: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on March 8, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Penarol and Danubio drew 1-1 on March 8, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 83′Cristian Gabriel Rodríguez BarrottiPenarol (pen.)
- 90′L. NequecaurDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Danubio have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Cerro(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 11, 2019 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2020 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Dec 5, 2019 | Boston River(away) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 27, 2019 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 21, 2019 | Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2019 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 27, 2019 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Penarol 1-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Penarol 1-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Nov 16, 2017 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy