Penarol vs Danubio: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 8Kick-off on April 6, 2019 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Penarol won 1-0 on April 6, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 36′C. LemaPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Danubio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Boston River(away) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2019 | San José(home) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | Progreso(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Fenix(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2019 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Cerro(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol wins, 1 draw, 1 Danubio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2018 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Penarol 1-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Nov 16, 2017 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 16, 2017 | Penarol 1-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Danubio 3-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Penarol 2-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Danubio | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 3rd in Primera División (20 points from 10 matches) and Danubio sit 13th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Penarol vs Danubio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy