Penarol vs Defensor Sporting: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 4, 2012 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
Penarol won 2-1 on November 4, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 43′Damián Macaluso RojasPenarol
- 73′A. TorresPenarol
- 90′Carlos Federico Puppo GrossDefensor Sporting
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Defensor Sporting have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 5-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Cerro Largo(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Central Espanol(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | Central Espanol(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Danubio(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Juventud(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Defensor Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | Defensor Sporting 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Defensor Sporting vs Penarol on Apr 5, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor Sporting score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Defensor Sporting | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Defensor Sporting sit 8th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 62 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 62 | 64 | 89 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 28 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy