Progreso vs Central Espanol: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 4, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Central Espanol?
Progreso won 1-0 on November 4, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 23′W. FernándezProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Central Espanol have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2012 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Bella Vista(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Penarol(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Progreso win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Central Espanol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2012 | Central Espanol 2-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Progreso 0-0 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Central Espanol vs Progreso on Feb 25, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Central Espanol score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Central Espanol | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Central Espanol sit 5th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 7 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 11 | Central Espanol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy