Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 4Kick-off on July 6, 2024 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado drew 1-1 on July 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 2′G. LarrazábalDeportivo Maldonado
- 86′M. OliveraPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Maldonado have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2024 | Progreso(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Fenix(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| May 28, 2024 | Rosario Central(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 15, 2024 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| May 26, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Maldonado win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Penarol 2-1 Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 19, 2022 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Penarol 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol on Apr 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Maldonado score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Deportivo Maldonado sit 2nd (29 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy