Progreso vs Racing Montevideo: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 4Kick-off on July 7, 2024 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?
Progreso won 3-2 on July 7, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 3′D. NandínRacing Montevideo
- 6′I. LemmoProgreso
- 43′M. MartinProgreso
- 77′H. SequeiraProgreso
- 84′D. NandínRacing Montevideo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Racing Montevideo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 9, 2024 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| May 23, 2024 | Penarol(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Penarol(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 2, 2024 | CA River Plate(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| May 28, 2024 | Corinthians(away) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Racing Montevideo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Progreso 4-3 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Racing Montevideo 2-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| May 22, 2022 | Progreso 0-2 Racing Montevideo | Segunda División |
| Oct 9, 2019 | Progreso 2-1 Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Racing Montevideo 3-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Racing Montevideo 2-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Racing Montevideo on Mar 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Montevideo score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Racing Montevideo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Racing Montevideo sit 1st (31 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 62 | 26 | 21 | 15 | 70 | 57 | 99 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy