Penarol vs Juventud: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on March 3, 2019 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Juventud?
Penarol won 4-1 on March 3, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 6′J. AlbertiJuventud
- 31′G. FernándezPenarol
- 43′Lucas Ezequiel ViatriPenarol (pen.)
- 62′L. HernándezPenarol
- 82′I. LoresPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Juventud have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Progreso(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2019 | Progreso(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Fenix(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Oriental(away) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Miramar(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | Penarol 1-0 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Juventud 0-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Juventud 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Jun 4, 2016 | Juventud 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Penarol 1-0 Juventud | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2015 | Penarol 4-1 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Juventud | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy