Danubio vs Cerro: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on March 3, 2019 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Cerro?
Danubio won 1-0 on March 3, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 61′S. FelipeDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Cerro have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2019 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 5, 2019 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | Boston River(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Danubio win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2018 | Danubio 0-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Cerro 3-2 Danubio | Primera División |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Cerro 1-2 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Danubio 1-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Cerro 0-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Cerro 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.6 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerro | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy