Penarol vs Progreso: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on August 14, 2021 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Progreso?
Penarol won 1-0 on August 14, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 81′A. ÁlvarezPenarol
Official lineup for Penarol vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penarol
- 37A. Nahuelpán
- 47C. Olivera
- 18A. Álvarez
- 21J. Trindade
- 28F. Martínez
- 3M. Pereira
- 4A. da Silveira
- 17V. Rodríguez
- 20G. González
- 50C. Rodríguez
- 1Neto Volpi
Progreso
- 9G. Alles
- 24L. Rodríguez
- 29J. Ramis
- 23J. Barboza
- 35S. Arias
- 5L. Ferreira
- 6L. Morales
- 15M. Marta
- 17B. Bentaberry
- 44Rodrigo Rojo Piazze
- 25R. Formento
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Progreso have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2021 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 6, 2021 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2021 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2021 | Rentistas(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 16, 2021 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Fenix(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 5, 2021 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penarol wins, 3 draws, 0 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Penarol 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 27, 2019 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Progreso 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 26, 2019 | Penarol 2-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 3rd in Primera División (20 points from 10 matches) and Progreso sit 9th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Penarol vs Progreso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy