Penarol vs Villa Teresa: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2015 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Villa Teresa?
Penarol won 4-1 on November 1, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 26′C. ValdezPenarol
- 49′Diego Ifrán SalaPenarol
- 52′Diego Forlán CorazoPenarol
- 67′Cristian Martín Arguiñarena PomboVilla Teresa
- 81′C. PalaciosPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Villa Teresa have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2015 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Rentistas(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Danubio(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2015 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2015 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2015 | SUD America(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Fenix(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2015 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Teresa score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Villa Teresa | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy