Bandırmaspor vs Bursaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, Bandırma
The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Bursaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bandırmaspor vs Bursaspor?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Bandırmaspor (1,873) and Bursaspor (1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bandırmaspor have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Bursaspor have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bandırmaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bursaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2022 | Bandırmaspor 4-2 Bursaspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Bursaspor 0-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 15, 2021 | Bursaspor 2-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Bandırmaspor 1-2 Bursaspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Bandırmaspor vs Bursaspor on May 14, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bandırmaspor score 1.1 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bursaspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor | 1.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Bursaspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bandırmaspor sit 7th in 1. Lig (5 points from 3 matches) and Bursaspor sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bursaspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bandırmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bandırmaspor vs Bursaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Bursaspor.
- Where and when is Bandırmaspor vs Bursaspor played?
- Bandırmaspor vs Bursaspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.