Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cae Baker, Penrhyncoch, Ceredigion
The Footlab AI model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Penrhyncoch. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holyhead Hotspur wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Holyhead Hotspur starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,522 vs 1,408).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penrhyncoch
Not enough data to predict the Penrhyncoch lineup.
Holyhead Hotspur
Not enough data to predict the Holyhead Hotspur lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penrhyncoch have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Holyhead Hotspur have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penrhyncoch wins, 2 draws, 2 Holyhead Hotspur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur 3-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Penrhyncoch 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Penrhyncoch 2-1 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Penrhyncoch 0-1 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Holyhead Hotspur vs Penrhyncoch on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penrhyncoch score 1.0 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Holyhead Hotspur score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | 1.0 | 2.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penrhyncoch sit 16th in FAW Championship (1 point from 12 matches) and Holyhead Hotspur sit 11th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holyhead Hotspur | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 1 |
A question about Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Penrhyncoch.
- Where and when is Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur played?
- Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cae Baker, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.