Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Traeth Stadium, Porthmadog, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Porthmadog. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mold Alexandra wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,516).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Mold Alexandra
Not enough data to predict the Mold Alexandra lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porthmadog have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Porthmadog win, 1 draw, 4 Mold Alexandra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Porthmadog 1-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 5-1 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Porthmadog 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Porthmadog 3-4 Mold Alexandra | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Porthmadog 1-0 Mold Alexandra | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra on Jan 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Porthmadog score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porthmadog sit 4th in FAW Championship (24 points from 13 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 3rd (24 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
A question about Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Porthmadog.
- Where and when is Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Traeth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.