Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Traeth Stadium, Porthmadog, Gwynedd
The Footlab model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Mold Alexandra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,627 vs 1,508).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porthmadog have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rhyl(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Porthmadog win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Mold Alexandra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Porthmadog 1-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 5-1 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Porthmadog 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Porthmadog 3-4 Mold Alexandra | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Porthmadog 1-0 Mold Alexandra | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra on Jan 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Porthmadog score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porthmadog sit 2nd in FAW Championship (10 points from 4 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Porthmadog | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Mold Alexandra.
- Where and when is Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Traeth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.