Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, Santa Coloma
The Footlab model makes FC Santa Coloma the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Penya Encarnada. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma?
FC Santa Coloma starts as the favourite with a 291-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penya Encarnada have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; FC Santa Coloma have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 18, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 2-6 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-3 | Copa Constitució |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Penya Encarnada win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FC Santa Coloma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Penya Encarnada 0-1 FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Penya Encarnada 0-6 FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 22, 2025 | FC Santa Coloma 1-0 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 13, 2025 | FC Santa Coloma 1-0 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Penya Encarnada 0-1 FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 6, 2024 | FC Santa Coloma 2-1 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penya Encarnada score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santa Coloma score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penya Encarnada | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Santa Coloma | 1.7 | 1.1 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penya Encarnada sit 6th in 1a Divisió (24 points from 24 matches) and FC Santa Coloma sit 4th (44 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Santa Coloma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 20 | 44 |
| 6 | Penya Encarnada | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma?
- The Footlab model makes FC Santa Coloma the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Penya Encarnada.
- Where and when is Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma played?
- Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.