Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 16, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont won 3-2 on September 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′Marc Richard WilliamsCaernarfon Town
- 45′C. VenablesPenybont
- 76′C. VenablesPenybont
- 90′P. MooneyCaernarfon Town
- 90′G. WilliamsPenybont (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2023 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2023 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Bala Town(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penybont win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | Penybont 5-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 0-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 1-0 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Penybont 0-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 1-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Penybont 0-0 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Caernarfon Town on Jan 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy