Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 16, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont won 3-2 on September 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′Marc Richard WilliamsCaernarfon Town
- 45′C. VenablesPenybont
- 76′C. VenablesPenybont
- 90′P. MooneyCaernarfon Town
- 90′G. WilliamsPenybont (o.g.)
Official lineup for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penybont
- CC. Venables
- RR. Reynolds
- SS. MacDonald
- AA. Evans
- HH. Jones
- MM. Little
- JJ. Yorwerth
- KK. Owen
- DD. Jefferies
- MM. Davies
- AA. Pennock
Caernarfon Town
- AA. Davies
- LL. Lloyd
- ZZ. Clarke
- BB. Maher
- SS. Bradley
- MMarc Richard Williams
- DD. Thomas
- II. Cartwright
- PP. Mooney
- RR. Austin
- LL. Webb
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2023 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2023 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Bala Town(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penybont wins, 1 draw, 2 Caernarfon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | Penybont 5-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 0-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 1-0 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Penybont 0-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 1-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Penybont 0-0 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Caernarfon Town on Jan 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (30 points from 13 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 4th (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
A question about Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy