Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: result 5-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 6Kick-off on January 7, 2023 at 12:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont won 5-1 on January 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 9′K. ReffellPenybont
- 17′R. ReynoldsPenybont
- 32′J. YorwerthPenybont
- 72′K. GeorgievskyPenybont
- 78′I. CartwrightCaernarfon Town
- 82′Tom TweedyPenybont
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Cardiff MET(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | The New Saints(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Bala Town(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Bala Town(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penybont win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 0-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 1-0 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Penybont 0-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 1-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Penybont 0-0 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Penybont 1-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont on Nov 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy