Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: result 5-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 6Kick-off on January 7, 2023 at 12:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont won 5-1 on January 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 9′K. ReffellPenybont
- 17′R. ReynoldsPenybont
- 32′J. YorwerthPenybont
- 72′K. GeorgievskyPenybont
- 78′I. CartwrightCaernarfon Town
- 82′Tom TweedyPenybont
Official lineup for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penybont
- KK. Reffell
- KK. Georgievsky
- NN. Wood
- RR. Reynolds
- AA. Evans
- JJ. Yorwerth
- KK. Owen
- DD. Jefferies
- MM. Davies
- BB. Borge
- KK. Absalom
Caernarfon Town
- LL. Marsh-Hughes
- JJ. Faux
- DD. Gosset
- NN. Edwards
- SS. Bradley
- DD. Thomas
- LL. Bell
- II. Cartwright
- GG. Williams
- CC. Griffiths
- JJ. Tibbetts
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Cardiff MET(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | The New Saints(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Bala Town(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Bala Town(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penybont wins, 2 draws, 2 Caernarfon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 0-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 1-0 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Penybont 0-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 1-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Penybont 0-0 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Penybont 1-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont on Nov 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (30 points from 13 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 4th (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
A question about Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy