Penybont vs Cardiff MET: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
The Footlab model makes Penybont the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cardiff MET. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penybont vs Cardiff MET?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Penybont (1,858) and Cardiff MET (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cardiff MET have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barry Town(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Town United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Penybont win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Cardiff MET win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Penybont 1-1 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Cardiff MET 0-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Penybont 0-0 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Cardiff MET 2-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Penybont 2-2 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Penybont 0-1 Cardiff MET | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Cardiff MET on Jan 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff MET score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Cardiff MET | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Cardiff MET sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Cardiff MET | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penybont vs Cardiff MET?
- The Footlab model makes Penybont the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cardiff MET.
- Where and when is Penybont vs Cardiff MET played?
- Penybont vs Cardiff MET is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at SDM Glass Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.