Barry Town vs The New Saints: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 29Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab AI model makes The New Saints the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Barry Town. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs The New Saints?
The New Saints starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (2,145 vs 1,937).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barry Town vs The New Saints
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barry Town
4-3-3- 7N. Daley
- 20E. Dugan
- 11R. Schwank
- 8D. Barton
- 2M. George
- 21J. Shaw
- 3E. Williams
- 16J. Lester
- 6K. Davies
- 4C. Sainty
- 31G. Ratcliffe
The New Saints
4-3-3- 9Bradley Jamie Ethan Young
- 17J. Williams
- 37Isaac Jefferies
- 20R. Hughes
- 14D. Williams
- 34J. Lock
- 6J. Bodenham
- 16D. Simeu
- 22D. Davies
- 12Harvey George Godsmark-Ford
- 1N. Shepperd
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; The New Saints have 14, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tredegar Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 9-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 6-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barry Town win, 1 draw, 4 The New Saints wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | The New Saints 1-0 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Barry Town 0-1 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | The New Saints 0-2 Barry Town | League Cup |
| Jan 24, 2026 | The New Saints 1-0 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | The New Saints 4-0 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Barry Town 0-0 The New Saints | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Barry Town on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; The New Saints score 3.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| The New Saints | 3.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 7th in Premier League (29 points from 16 matches) and The New Saints sit 1st (44 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 6 | 44 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 29 |
A question about Barry Town vs The New Saints?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs The New Saints?
- The Footlab AI model makes The New Saints the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Barry Town.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs The New Saints played?
- Barry Town vs The New Saints is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.