Cardiff MET vs Penybont: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, Caerdydd
The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Cardiff MET. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penybont wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,902 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Penybont?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Cardiff MET (1,884) and Penybont (1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cardiff MET vs Penybont
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cardiff MET
4-3-3- 36S. Snaith
- 9J. Payne
- 11L. Mwandwe
- 4J. Veale
- 8C. Craven
- 24A. Wildig
- 33T. Raison
- 14Spencer Dymond-Hall
- 23J. Hooper
- 3Joel Edwards
- 1Arron Davies
Penybont
4-3-3- 7N. Wood
- 23T. Walker
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 19R. Hill
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 17D. Jefferies
- 33E. Vaughan
- 22A. Pennock
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff MET have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Penybont have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cardiff MET wins, 3 draws, 1 Penybont win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Penybont 1-1 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Cardiff MET 0-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Penybont 0-0 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Cardiff MET 2-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Penybont 2-2 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Penybont 0-1 Cardiff MET | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Cardiff MET on Jan 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff MET score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MET | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Penybont | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff MET sit 7th in Premier League (21 points from 13 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
A question about Cardiff MET vs Penybont?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff MET vs Penybont?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Cardiff MET.
- Where and when is Cardiff MET vs Penybont played?
- Cardiff MET vs Penybont is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.