Penybont vs Trefelin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penybont vs Trefelin?
Penybont starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penybont vs Trefelin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penybont
4-3-3- 7N. Wood
- 23T. Walker
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 19R. Hill
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 17D. Jefferies
- 33E. Vaughan
- 22A. Pennock
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 19J. Jones
- 20Bayan Aman
- 4L. Gerrard
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Trefelin have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Penybont wins, 0 draws, 0 Trefelin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Trefelin 0-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Trefelin 1-6 Penybont | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Trefelin | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (30 points from 13 matches) and Trefelin sit 15th (6 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about Penybont vs Trefelin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penybont vs Trefelin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is Penybont vs Trefelin played?
- Penybont vs Trefelin is played on February 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at SDM Glass Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.