Caernarfon Town vs Ammanford AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Ammanford AFC?
Caernarfon Town starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,637).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caernarfon Town vs Ammanford AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caernarfon Town
4-3-3- 9Z. Clarke
- 10O. Evans
- 11A. Cieślewicz
- 6J. Canavan
- 14N. Edwards
- 19S. Bradley
- 16B. Nash
- 27R. Sears
- 23C. Marriott
- 4J. Piggott
- 1C. Roberts
Ammanford AFC
4-3-3- 24J. Evans
- 8A. Orme
- 30J. M. Case
- 2S. Woodhouse
- 10C. Thomas
- 22H. Rowe
- 17L. Davies
- 5C. Bell
- 4G. Euros
- 19O. Davies
- 99O. Williams
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ammanford AFC have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-9 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Cwmaman(away) | 4-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Caernarfon Town wins, 0 draws, 0 Ammanford AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Ammanford AFC 0-5 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Ammanford AFC 0-4 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ammanford AFC vs Caernarfon Town on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ammanford AFC score 0.9 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ammanford AFC | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 4th in Premier League (29 points from 15 matches) and Ammanford AFC sit 14th (9 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 19 | 29 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 42 | 9 |
A question about Caernarfon Town vs Ammanford AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caernarfon Town vs Ammanford AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Caernarfon Town vs Ammanford AFC played?
- Caernarfon Town vs Ammanford AFC is played on February 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Oval, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.