Penydarren BGC vs Cwmbran Celtic: result 1-0 and analysis
Welsh Cup1st RoundKick-off on August 13, 2021 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Penydarren BGC vs Cwmbran Celtic?
Penydarren BGC won 1-0 on August 13, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Penydarren BGC have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Cwmbran Celtic have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | Bangor City(away) | 0-7 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 27, 2018 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Llandudno Junction(away) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 4, 2017 | STM Sports(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Cardiff Corinthians(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2021 | Port Talbot Town(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Swansea University(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 27, 2021 | Goytre United(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Penydarren BGC score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 5; Cwmbran Celtic score 1.3 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penydarren BGC | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 2/5 | 5/5 |
| Cwmbran Celtic | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Aug 14, 2021Buckley Town2-1Mold Alexandra
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