Pergolettese vs Alcione: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab AI model makes Pergolettese the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Alcione. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pergolettese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Alcione?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Pergolettese (1,731) and Alcione (1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pergolettese vs Alcione
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pergolettese
4-3-3- 10D. Ferrandino
- 49E. Zaia
- 7A. Pala
- 20M. Tremolada
- 70J. Antollini
- 4M. Arini
- 5T. Silvestri
- 73E. Bassi
- 76L. Roversi
- 15C. Dell'Orco
- 22F. Doldi
Alcione
4-3-3- 11F. Morselli
- 98L. Zini
- 14A. Rolfini
- 18E. Lopes
- 30R. Rebaudo
- 10J. Pitou
- 25Filippo Pirola
- 4A. Miculi
- 19N. Trapani
- 5E. Sadotti
- 1F. Raffaelli
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Alcione have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Albinoleffe(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pergolettese wins, 0 draws, 4 Alcione wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Alcione 1-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Pergolettese 0-2 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Alcione 2-1 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Pergolettese 1-2 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Pergolettese on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pergolettese | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Alcione | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pergolettese sit 10th in Serie C - Girone A (17 points from 13 matches) and Alcione sit 8th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alcione | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Pergolettese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
A question about Pergolettese vs Alcione?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Alcione?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pergolettese the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Alcione.
- Where and when is Pergolettese vs Alcione played?
- Pergolettese vs Alcione is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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