Pergolettese vs Alcione: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab model makes Alcione the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Alcione?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Pergolettese (1,671) and Alcione (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Alcione have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Renate(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novara(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Torino(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pergolettese win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Alcione win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Alcione 1-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Pergolettese 0-2 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Alcione 2-1 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Pergolettese 1-2 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Pergolettese on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pergolettese | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Alcione | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pergolettese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Alcione sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Alcione?
- The Footlab model makes Alcione the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Pergolettese.
- Where and when is Pergolettese vs Alcione played?
- Pergolettese vs Alcione is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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