Match

Pergolettese vs Alcione: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema

PergoletteseAlcione

The Footlab model makes Alcione the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Alcione?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Pergolettese (1,671) and Alcione (1,747).

Pergolettese win32 %
Draw32 %
Alcione win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Alcione have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cittadella(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 9, 2026Inter U23(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Lecco(home)3-0Serie C - Girone A
Apr 19, 2026Vicenza Virtus(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Alcione
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Renate(home)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Novara(home)0-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 30, 2026Mantova(away)2-6Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Torino(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pergolettese win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Alcione win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Alcione 1-0 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2025Pergolettese 0-2 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Mar 29, 2025Alcione 2-1 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Nov 16, 2024Pergolettese 1-2 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Pergolettese on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pergolettese1.01.146/156/15
Alcione0.71.337/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pergolettese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Alcione sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Alcione1100313
20Pergolettese1001020

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Alcione?
The Footlab model makes Alcione the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Pergolettese.
Where and when is Pergolettese vs Alcione played?
Pergolettese vs Alcione is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pergolettese and Alcione

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