Match

Novara vs Giana Erminio: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

NovaraGiana Erminio

The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Giana Erminio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Novara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,413 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Giana Erminio?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Novara (1,881) and Giana Erminio (1,886).

44%29%27%
Novara winDrawGiana Erminio win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Novara vs Giana Erminio

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 7E. Lanini
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 19R. Collodel
  2. 23E. Zambataro
  3. 8D. Dell'Erba
  1. 15O. Khailoti
  2. 5F. Lorenzini
  3. 28A. Cannavaro
  4. 70A. Valdesi
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Giana Erminio

4-3-3
  1. 8L. Magazzu
  2. 29L. Samele
  3. 9A. Quaggio
  1. 25M. Zanchetta
  2. 11S. Comelli
  3. 10F. Renda
  1. 60E. Rovinelli
  2. 24L. Ruffini
  3. 23P. Tornaghi
  4. 19C. Mora
  1. 22Andrea Sergio Mazza

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Giana Erminio have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 15, 2026Lecco(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Nov 8, 2026Treviso(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Nov 2, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 18, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Giana Erminio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Athletic Carpi(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Nov 8, 2026Cittadella(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 31, 2026Alcione(home)1-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 19, 2026Union Brescia(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Novara wins, 3 draws, 1 Giana Erminio win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Novara 3-1 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2025Giana Erminio 0-0 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Mar 9, 2025Novara 0-1 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2024Giana Erminio 2-2 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Feb 3, 2024Giana Erminio 0-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 24, 2023Novara 1-1 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Giana Erminio on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Giana Erminio score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Novara0.81.336/155/15
Giana Erminio1.11.5211/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 16th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 13 matches) and Giana Erminio sit 15th (13 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Giana Erminio14275141813
16Novara13346111813

A question about Novara vs Giana Erminio?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Giana Erminio?
The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Giana Erminio.
Where and when is Novara vs Giana Erminio played?
Novara vs Giana Erminio is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Novara and Giana Erminio