Where and when is Novara vs Giana Erminio played?

Novara vs Giana Erminio is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Novara vs Giana Erminio: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

Novara

Giana Erminio

The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Giana Erminio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Giana Erminio?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Novara (1,757) and Giana Erminio (1,756).

Novara win41 %

Draw29 %

Giana Erminio win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Giana Erminio have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	0-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Alcione(away)	1-0	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026	Virtus Entella(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Sampdoria(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Ospitaletto(away)	2-0	Serie C - Girone A

Giana Erminio
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Albinoleffe(home)	1-2	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Folgore Caratese(home)	1-1	Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 24, 2026	Cremonese(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026	Lecco(away)	1-2	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Trento(away)	2-1	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Novara win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Giana Erminio win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Novara 3-1 Giana Erminio	Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2025	Giana Erminio 0-0 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Mar 9, 2025	Novara 0-1 Giana Erminio	Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2024	Giana Erminio 2-2 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Feb 3, 2024	Giana Erminio 0-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 24, 2023	Novara 1-1 Giana Erminio	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Giana Erminio on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Giana Erminio score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Novara	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15
Giana Erminio	1.2	1.3	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 18th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Giana Erminio sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Giana Erminio	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
18	Novara	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Giana Erminio?: The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Giana Erminio.
Where and when is Novara vs Giana Erminio played?: Novara vs Giana Erminio is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.