Albinoleffe vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola
The Footlab model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Albinoleffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Folgore Caratese?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Albinoleffe (1,768) and Folgore Caratese (1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albinoleffe have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Albinoleffe score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albinoleffe | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Folgore Caratese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albinoleffe sit 5th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Albinoleffe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Folgore Caratese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albinoleffe vs Folgore Caratese?
- The Footlab model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Albinoleffe.
- Where and when is Albinoleffe vs Folgore Caratese played?
- Albinoleffe vs Folgore Caratese is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.