Match

Pergolettese vs Union Brescia: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema

PergoletteseUnion Brescia

The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?

Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,671).

Pergolettese win20 %
Draw30 %
Union Brescia win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Union Brescia have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cittadella(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 9, 2026Inter U23(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Lecco(home)3-0Serie C - Girone A
Apr 19, 2026Vicenza Virtus(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Union Brescia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 9, 2026Arezzo(away)0-2Coppa Italia
Aug 1, 2026Pro Palazzolo(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Ascoli(away)0-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 3, 2026Ascoli(home)1-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pergolettese win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Union Brescia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 16, 2026Pergolettese 2-1 Union BresciaSerie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2025Union Brescia 0-0 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Pergolettese vs Union Brescia on Feb 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Brescia score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pergolettese1.01.146/156/15
Union Brescia1.10.866/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pergolettese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Union Brescia sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Union Brescia1100313
20Pergolettese1001020

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Pergolettese.
Where and when is Pergolettese vs Union Brescia played?
Pergolettese vs Union Brescia is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pergolettese and Union Brescia

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