Match

Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Lumezzane

LumezzaneGiana Erminio

The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Giana Erminio. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Lumezzane (1,752) and Giana Erminio (1,757).

Lumezzane win46 %
Draw30 %
Giana Erminio win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lumezzane have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Giana Erminio have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lumezzane
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ospitaletto(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026Renate(home)2-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 1, 2026Cremonese(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026Cittadella(away)0-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Alcione(home)0-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Giana Erminio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Albinoleffe(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)1-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 24, 2026Cremonese(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026Lecco(away)1-2Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Trento(away)2-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lumezzane win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Giana Erminio win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Lumezzane 1-0 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2025Giana Erminio 2-1 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Feb 28, 2025Giana Erminio 1-1 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Oct 19, 2024Lumezzane 3-2 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
Feb 23, 2024Giana Erminio 2-1 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Oct 21, 2023Lumezzane 1-3 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Giana Erminio score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lumezzane1.10.957/154/15
Giana Erminio1.21.358/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lumezzane sit 19th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Giana Erminio sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Giana Erminio1001120
19Lumezzane1001020

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Giana Erminio.
Where and when is Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio played?
Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lumezzane and Giana Erminio

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