Perth Glory vs Sydney: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)HBF Park, Perth
The Footlab model makes Sydney the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Sydney?
Sydney starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perth Glory have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Sydney have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Macarthur(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Bayswater City(away) | 5-1 | Australia Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 0-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Perth Glory win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Sydney win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney 0-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Perth Glory 0-1 Sydney | A-League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Perth Glory 0-0 Sydney | A-League |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Sydney 3-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Sydney 7-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Perth Glory 1-1 Sydney | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Sydney vs Perth Glory on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perth Glory score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sydney score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sydney | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perth Glory sit 10th in A-League (31 points from 26 matches) and Sydney sit 5th (39 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perth Glory vs Sydney?
- The Footlab model makes Sydney the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Perth Glory vs Sydney played?
- Perth Glory vs Sydney is played on February 20, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at HBF Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.