Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC)McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Adelaide United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Newcastle Jets (1,842) and Adelaide United (1,800).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 9N. Vergos
- 14M. Burgess
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 27J. Recchia
- 10Z. Clough
- 6Z. Schreiber
- 23D. Wilmering
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 2A. Grant
- 1J. Delianov
Adelaide United
4-4-2- 10Juan Muñiz
- 35Brody Burkitt
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 11C. Goodwin
- 87Anselmo
- 14J. Barnett
- 4P. Kikianis
- 52S. Phillis
- 58H. Crawford
- 22J. Smits
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 03:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Adelaide United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Macarthur(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newcastle Jets wins, 1 draw, 2 Adelaide United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Adelaide United 2-3 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 2-1 Adelaide United | Australia Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Adelaide United 1-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
A question about Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Adelaide United.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United played?
- Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United is played on February 21, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.