Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 10:45 AM (UTC)HBF Park, Perth
The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perth Glory wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Perth Glory (1,692) and Brisbane Roar (1,666).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Brisbane Roar
4-1-4-1- 17J. Vidic
- 6N. Maieroni
- 44J. Lauton
- 77M. Stajic
- 2Jacob Nasso
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 3D. Valkanis
- 15H. Bility
- 53A. Mitchell
- 2Y. Salas
- 1D. Bouzanis
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perth Glory have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Brisbane Roar have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Perth Glory wins, 1 draw, 2 Brisbane Roar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory 2-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 1-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Perth Glory 1-2 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-3 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 0-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 2-4 Perth Glory | Australia Cup |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perth Glory sit 10th in A-League (31 points from 26 matches) and Brisbane Roar sit 11th (26 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 36 | 26 |
A question about Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar played?
- Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar is played on February 27, 2027 at 10:45 AM (UTC) at HBF Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.