Perugia vs Pineto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 3Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
The Footlab model makes Perugia the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Pineto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perugia vs Pineto?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Perugia (1,781) and Pineto (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pineto have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Latina(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Perugia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Pineto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Perugia 0-1 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Pineto 3-0 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Perugia 3-0 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Pineto 3-1 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Pineto 0-2 Perugia | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Perugia 2-2 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Pineto | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perugia sit 5th in Serie C - Girone B (3 points from 1 matches) and Pineto sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Pineto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perugia vs Pineto?
- The Footlab model makes Perugia the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Pineto.
- Where and when is Perugia vs Pineto played?
- Perugia vs Pineto is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Curi, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.