Sambenedettese vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 3Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
The Footlab model makes Sambenedettese the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Spezia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sambenedettese vs Spezia?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Sambenedettese (1,815) and Spezia (1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sambenedettese have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Spezia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Forli(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torres(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sambenedettese win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Spezia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2018 | Spezia 2-1 Sambenedettese | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Spezia vs Sambenedettese on Aug 4, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Sambenedettese score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sambenedettese | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Spezia | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sambenedettese sit 6th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Spezia sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sambenedettese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sambenedettese vs Spezia?
- The Footlab model makes Sambenedettese the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Spezia.
- Where and when is Sambenedettese vs Spezia played?
- Sambenedettese vs Spezia is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Riviera delle Palme, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.