Where and when is Pfaffenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?

Pfaffenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pfaffenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 10Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Pfaffenhofen

Sportfreunde Schwaig

The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Pfaffenhofen (1,774) and Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754).

Pfaffenhofen win54 %

Draw24 %

Sportfreunde Schwaig win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Pfaffenhofen have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pfaffenhofen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Heimstetten(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 22, 2026	TuS Geretsried(away)	3-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Pipinsried(away)	0-5	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026	1860 München II(home)	3-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026	Kottern(away)	4-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Sportfreunde Schwaig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Erlbach(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Schwabmünchen(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Kirchanschöring(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	TuS Geretsried(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

How many goals should we expect?

Pfaffenhofen score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 7; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pfaffenhofen	1.9	1.6	2	4/7	4/7
Sportfreunde Schwaig	1.8	1.1	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Sportfreunde Schwaig	33	12	10	11	49	45	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pfaffenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?: The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
Where and when is Pfaffenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?: Pfaffenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.