Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 10Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, Deisenhofen
The Footlab model makes Deisenhofen the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Deisenhofen (1,737) and TuS Geretsried (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deisenhofen have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kottern(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ismaning(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erlbach(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Deisenhofen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 TuS Geretsried win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Deisenhofen 1-1 TuS Geretsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 13, 2025 | TuS Geretsried 1-2 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deisenhofen score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deisenhofen | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| TuS Geretsried | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deisenhofen sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (49 points from 32 matches) and TuS Geretsried sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deisenhofen | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 44 | 47 | 49 |
| 11 | TuS Geretsried | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried?
- The Footlab model makes Deisenhofen the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried.
- Where and when is Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried played?
- Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026Hankofen-HailingvsSchalding-Heining
- Sep 11, 20261880 WasserburgvsHeimstetten
- Sep 11, 2026ErlbachvsKottern
- Sep 12, 2026PfaffenhofenvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Sep 12, 2026Ismaningvs1860 Rosenheim
- Sep 12, 2026GundelfingenvsPipinsried
- Sep 12, 2026LandshutvsSchwabmünchen
- Sep 12, 2026Kirchanschöringvs1860 München II