Match

Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 10Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, Deisenhofen

DeisenhofenTuS Geretsried

The Footlab model makes Deisenhofen the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Deisenhofen (1,737) and TuS Geretsried (1,743).

Deisenhofen win41 %
Draw26 %
TuS Geretsried win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deisenhofen have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deisenhofen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 20261860 München II(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Kottern(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 20261860 Rosenheim(away)0-6Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Ismaning(home)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Erlbach(away)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
TuS Geretsried
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pfaffenhofen(home)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schalding-Heining(away)5-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026Schwabmünchen(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Heimstetten(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Deisenhofen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 TuS Geretsried win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2026Deisenhofen 1-1 TuS GeretsriedOberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 13, 2025TuS Geretsried 1-2 DeisenhofenOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deisenhofen score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deisenhofen0.91.366/155/15
TuS Geretsried2.01.6212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deisenhofen sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (49 points from 32 matches) and TuS Geretsried sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Deisenhofen3213109444749
11TuS Geretsried3412913505045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried?
The Footlab model makes Deisenhofen the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried.
Where and when is Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried played?
Deisenhofen vs TuS Geretsried is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Deisenhofen and TuS Geretsried

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