Pharco vs Tersana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Tersana. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pharco vs Tersana?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Pharco (1,709) and Tersana (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pharco have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tersana have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Proxy(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 28, 2026 | Ismaily SC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Pharco win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tersana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | Pharco 3-1 Tersana | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Pharco score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharco | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pharco sit 7th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Tersana sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pharco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pharco vs Tersana?
- The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Tersana.
- Where and when is Pharco vs Tersana played?
- Pharco vs Tersana is played on October 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.