Phare du Canal vs USBM: result 0-2 and analysis
Division d'HonneurRegular Season - 5Kick-off on December 6, 2012 at 12:30 AM (UTC)
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What was the result of Phare du Canal vs USBM?
USBM won 0-2 on December 6, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phare du Canal have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; USBM have 4, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2012 | Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau(home) | 0-4 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Juventus Sainte-Anne(away) | 1-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 18, 2012 | USR Sainte-Rose(away) | 0-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Moulien(home) | 0-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Vieux-Habitants(away) | 1-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2012 | Moulien(away) | 0-3 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Siroco Les Abymes(away) | 1-3 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 18, 2012 | AJS Saintoise(home) | 2-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Club Amical(away) | 3-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Evolucas Lamentin(home) | 2-0 | Division d'Honneur |
How many goals should we expect?
Phare du Canal score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; USBM score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phare du Canal | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| USBM | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 5/8 | 6/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phare du Canal sit 13th in Division d'Honneur (36 points from 24 matches) and USBM sit 11th (43 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | USBM | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 55 | 43 |
| 13 | Phare du Canal | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 60 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy