Philippines vs Nepal: result 4-1 and analysis
Asian Cup - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 28, 2017 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rizal Memorial Stadium, Manila
Full time
What was the result of Philippines vs Nepal?
Philippines won 4-1 on March 28, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 21′Philip James Placer YounghusbandPhilippines (pen.)
- 23′Philip James Placer YounghusbandPhilippines
- 28′I. RamsayPhilippines
- 45′B. RaiNepal
- 73′Javier Patiño LachicaPhilippines
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Philippines have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nepal have 3, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2017 | Malaysia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 25, 2016 | Thailand(home) | 0-1 | ASEAN Championship |
| Nov 22, 2016 | Indonesia(away) | 2-2 | ASEAN Championship |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Singapore(home) | 0-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Mar 29, 2016 | North Korea(home) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2015 | India(away) | 1-4 | SAFF Championship |
| Dec 23, 2015 | Sri Lanka(home) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Mar 17, 2015 | India(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 12, 2015 | India(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 8, 2013 | Afghanistan(home) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Philippines score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nepal score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philippines | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Nepal | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 3/11 | 3/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Philippines sit 2nd in Asian Cup - Qualification (14 points from 6 matches) and Nepal sit 4th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy