Kickers Emden vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Ostfriesland-Stadion, Emden
The Footlab model makes Kickers Emden the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kickers Emden vs VfB Lübeck?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Kickers Emden (1,915) and VfB Lübeck (1,905).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kickers Emden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kickers Emden win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 VfB Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Kickers Emden 1-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 24, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 2-2 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Kickers Emden 1-3 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2024 | VfB Lübeck 3-1 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Kickers Emden 0-6 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 5, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 3-0 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Kickers Emden vs VfB Lübeck on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers Emden | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kickers Emden sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nord (4 points from 4 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kickers Emden vs VfB Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes Kickers Emden the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for VfB Lübeck.
- Where and when is Kickers Emden vs VfB Lübeck played?
- Kickers Emden vs VfB Lübeck is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Ostfriesland-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsBremer SV
- Nov 7, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Nov 7, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSchöningen
- Nov 7, 2026HSC HannovervsSSV Jeddeloh
- Nov 7, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsWeiche Flensburg
- Nov 7, 2026VfB OldenburgvsSt. Pauli II
- Nov 7, 2026Phönix LübeckvsHamburger SV II
- Nov 7, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsTodesfelde