VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Marschwegstadion, Oldenburg
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,594 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?
VfB Oldenburg starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,794).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VfB Oldenburg
Not enough data to predict the VfB Oldenburg lineup.
St. Pauli II
Not enough data to predict the St. Pauli II lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Oldenburg have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; St. Pauli II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 24, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 17, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfB Oldenburg wins, 2 draws, 0 St. Pauli II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg 4-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Dec 2, 2025 | St. Pauli II 1-1 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 14, 2025 | St. Pauli II 2-2 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 14, 2024 | VfB Oldenburg 4-0 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 10, 2024 | VfB Oldenburg 2-0 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 10, 2023 | St. Pauli II 0-1 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Oldenburg score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Oldenburg | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| St. Pauli II | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Oldenburg sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nord (32 points from 15 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 16th (14 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfB Oldenburg | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 32 |
| 16 | St. Pauli II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 14 |
A question about VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?
- The Footlab AI model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II played?
- VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Marschwegstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 6, 2026Kickers EmdenvsVfB Lübeck
- Nov 7, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsBremer SV
- Nov 7, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsTodesfelde
- Nov 7, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsWeiche Flensburg
- Nov 7, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSchöningen
- Nov 8, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Nov 8, 2026HSC HannovervsSSV Jeddeloh
- Nov 8, 2026Phönix LübeckvsHamburger SV II