Match

Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck

Phönix LübeckWerder Bremen II

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Werder Bremen II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II?

Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,854).

Phönix Lübeck win66 %
Draw19 %
Werder Bremen II win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Werder Bremen II have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phönix Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfB Lübeck(home)4-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Bremer SV(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nord
Werder Bremen II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Weiche Flensburg(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026St. Pauli II(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Todesfelde(away)3-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026VfB Oldenburg(home)0-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 19, 2026BFC Preussen(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2026Werder Bremen II 2-3 Phönix LübeckFriendlies Clubs
Dec 5, 2025Werder Bremen II 2-2 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 23, 2025Phönix Lübeck 2-0 Werder Bremen IIRegionalliga - Nord
Mar 26, 2025Phönix Lübeck 0-0 Werder Bremen IIRegionalliga - Nord
Nov 27, 2024Werder Bremen II 3-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
May 27, 2023Phönix Lübeck 3-2 Werder Bremen IIRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen II score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Phönix Lübeck1.81.559/159/15
Werder Bremen II1.72.4111/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Werder Bremen II sit 17th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix Lübeck4211727
17Werder Bremen II40135101

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II?
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Werder Bremen II.
Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II played?
Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Phönix Lübeck and Werder Bremen II

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