Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Werder Bremen II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II?
Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Werder Bremen II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St. Pauli II(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 19, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Werder Bremen II 2-3 Phönix Lübeck | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Werder Bremen II 2-2 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Phönix Lübeck 2-0 Werder Bremen II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Phönix Lübeck 0-0 Werder Bremen II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Werder Bremen II 3-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 27, 2023 | Phönix Lübeck 3-2 Werder Bremen II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen II score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Werder Bremen II | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Werder Bremen II sit 17th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Werder Bremen II.
- Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II played?
- Phönix Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsEimsbütteler TV
- Sep 5, 2026Bremer SVvsKickers Emden
- Sep 5, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsVfB Lübeck
- Sep 5, 2026SSV JeddelohvsHamburger SV II
- Sep 5, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsTodesfelde
- Sep 5, 2026HSC HannovervsWeiche Flensburg
- Sep 5, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsSt. Pauli II
- Sep 5, 2026SchöningenvsVfB Oldenburg