Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Phrae United (1,445) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Phrae United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Nakhon Pathom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United 0-2 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Phrae United 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Phrae United 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phrae United sit 11th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026Esan PattayavsPolice Tero
- Sep 12, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsChiangmai United
- Sep 12, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Sep 12, 2026SongkhlavsSatun
- Sep 12, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Sep 13, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsChainat
- Sep 13, 2026KanchanaburivsChanthaburi
- Sep 13, 2026Kasetsart FCvsUttaradit