Where and when is Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?

Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi

Muangthong United

Nong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,511).

Muangthong United win57 %

Draw23 %

Nong Bua Pitchaya win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muangthong United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Sukhothai FC(away)	0-3	Thai League 1
May 1, 2026	BG Pathum United(home)	1-1	Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026	Chonburi FC(away)	0-0	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)	2-1	Thai League 1
Apr 5, 2026	Chiangrai United(home)	2-1	Thai League 1

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Muangthong United win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	Muangthong United 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1
Aug 31, 2024	Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-0 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Apr 23, 2023	Muangthong United 3-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1
Nov 12, 2022	Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-2 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Feb 12, 2022	Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-0 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Oct 5, 2021	Muangthong United 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1

Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Muangthong United	0.8	1.6	3	8/15	8/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?: The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?: Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.