Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chiangmai United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-2 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Chiangmai United 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-2 Chiangmai United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Chiangmai United 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United on Mar 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Chiangmai United.
- Where and when is Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United played?
- Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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